Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-25 13.152220 14.713966 16.404021 18.371541 20.602555 23.057684 25.969424
2025-06-01 10.836199 12.918872 15.335176 18.356276 22.047166 26.428154 32.049661
2025-06-08 9.145432 11.529865 14.471969 18.393449 23.519785 30.043140 39.052072
2025-06-15 8.067683 10.706942 14.154112 19.032004 25.830252 35.077360 48.792927
2025-06-22 6.946389 9.651052 13.368663 18.922633 27.131315 39.009103 57.849792
2025-06-29 5.955759 8.622738 12.461614 18.488022 27.890487 42.302462 66.657626
2025-07-06 5.210460 7.835387 11.778461 18.261498 28.905878 46.141056 77.099455
2025-07-13 4.782269 7.460194 11.653123 18.866630 31.323123 52.627218 93.326508
2025-07-20 4.415978 7.128325 11.543120 19.470283 33.832508 59.722574 112.236362
2025-07-27 4.042209 6.731877 11.268275 19.742302 35.797869 66.207724 131.503907
2025-08-03 3.640169 6.234345 10.751973 19.498804 36.762306 70.983217 148.460701
2025-08-10 3.283122 5.770359 10.232429 19.165999 37.489391 75.414670 165.750308
2025-08-17 2.971273 5.358110 9.768593 18.900142 38.370105 80.476393 186.132189
2025-08-24 2.713936 5.016502 9.394510 18.759137 39.497872 86.330470 210.097229
2025-08-31 2.497522 4.727371 9.085405 18.706612 40.816988 92.916305 237.872511
2025-09-07 2.369346 4.595963 9.073443 19.289175 43.694899 103.845920 280.652722
2025-09-14 2.184847 4.329128 8.749310 19.129252 44.790069 110.608373 313.836762
2025-09-21 1.994169 4.028104 8.316319 18.654865 45.028611 115.216273 342.117843
2025-09-28 1.842568 3.792961 7.997331 18.401378 45.785237 121.404489 377.478891
2025-10-05 1.768711 3.717774 8.023811 18.993055 48.893042 134.972161 442.272062
2025-10-12 1.700033 3.646195 8.049352 19.587220 52.133924 149.762346 517.114095
2025-10-19 1.615098 3.528400 7.952572 19.850757 54.496061 162.476819 589.398129
2025-10-26 1.506698 3.344943 7.677419 19.598417 55.297855 170.420698 646.254229